政治不稳定直接冲击经济预期。企业家的决策依赖对未来的判断:投资建厂,是因为相信几年后能收回成本;雇佣员工、签订合同,也是基于规则稳定的预期。但如果政府频繁更替、政策朝令夕改、法律难以预期,企业家自然选择观望。
安東尼·澤尼爾(Anthony Zurcher),BBC駐北美記者
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Kalshi, one of several online prediction markets that have exploded in popularity in the last few years, has suspended one of YouTube MrBeast's video editors for insider trading, NPR reports. Besides being suspended from the platform for two years, Kalshi says the editor will also be required to pay a financial penalty that's five times his initial trade size.
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